Friday, January 15, 2010

My Futile 2009 NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Prediction


Before I start rambling on about my thoughts on these games, I have something I need to get off my chest. And that something is this: Why the HELL do people bet money on these games? I mean, would these people also drop a few Benjamin's on a coin flip? I'm looking at all four of these games and its very easy to make a case for all eight teams winning this weekend. But yet billions of dollars are changing hands betting on these games. I know I'm here making an attempt at predicting these games but trust me, in no way would I even bet $1 on these games.

Especially after my prediction last week that New England would make it to the Super Bowl.

(That sound you just heard was a rush of people leaving this blog)

All four games this weekend are outstanding match ups. It's not just eight good teams playing football this weekend. The way those eight teams match up with their opponents are absolutely perfect.

Case in point, lets discuss the New York Jets at San Diego Chargers game. This game has by far the best defense in the AFC against by far the best offence in the AFC. These two teams also have the top two W/L records over the last five weeks of the season. The Jets 'D' is just sick. Darrelle Revis is by far the best cover corner in the league. Unfortunately for the Jets, San Diego doesn't have a #1 WR for him to shut down. San Diego simply has too many weapons on offence, and Philip Rivers uses them all. Everyone is all over San Diego this week. They did close out the year on that amazing 11-game win streak. Despite that I really want to pick the Jets. But I won't. Wait... yes I will. New York wins by 3. 27-24.

The next game I'll talk about is the Arizona Cardinals at the New Orleans Saints. I'll start off by saying this: As a Vikings fan, I would LOVE to have Ken Whisenhunt as our coach. I think he's fast becoming one of the best coaches in the league. But, in saying that, he's coaching by far the most unpredictable team in the league. When he has his team on top of their game, they can beat anybody. But when they are not on top of their game... phew, they stink. Kind of the same thing as New Orleans. They looked outstanding starting off the season 13-0. And then... man, did they stink those last three games. Here's my take on the Saints. If Drew Brees takes their offense and puts up a couple of quick scores, forget about it. That puts their defense in position to do what they do best, which is create havoc for the opponents QB's. But outside of that, if they are in a close game, I don't think their D can stop any of the teams left in the playoffs. Which also leads me to say I believe these are the two worst teams left in the playoffs. Not that that's a bad thing, but they are. The winner of this one? If Arizona couldn't stop Aaron Rogers last week, no way can they stop Drew Brees. New Orleans wins 38-23.

Now lets talk about the Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts game. Are the fans in Baltimore over the Colts leaving them yet, or is this game festering in all of their hearts? OK, just like the other AFC game, we have one team with a shut-down defense (Baltimore) playing on the road against a team that can light it up (Indy). Up until their coach pulled the starters in week #15, Indy was unbeatable. Not only were they looking unbeatable, but they were also winning close games, which is a good lesson to learn come playoff time. Despite the turnover in coaches and players the Colts went through, Peyton Manning just knows how to make his team win. Baltimore looked outstanding in knocking the Patriots out of the playoffs last week. But outside of that huge victory last week, take a look at Baltimore's record against this years playoff teams: 1-7. That's why I'm going with the Colts this week. Baltimore played out of their minds last week and I don't think they can do it again. Indy wins 23-21.

And finally, lets talk about not only the game I'm most looking forward to, but the game that I believe features the two best teams playing this weekend. The Dallas Cowboys at the Minnesota Vikings. This game might be one of the best playoff games we've seen in a long time. Being a Viking fan that hates the Cowboys WAY more than the arch-rival Packers (dating back to the Drew Person out of bounds catch and push-off game), it pains me to say that the Cowboys are the only team left in the playoffs that scare me. I'm not saying any of the other teams left couldn't beat the Vikings, the other teams just don't scare me. The thing that makes this match up so good is how evenly matched these two teams are. Two teams that can dominate the physical game. Two teams that have enough skill players to score at a moments notice. Two teams that can stuff the run as good as anyone in the league. And two teams that have fans wishing for better coaches despite their successes this year. For all the national talk about how DeMarcus Ware will eat up Bryant McKinnie, it's laughable that no one is talking about the other side of the ball. Jared Allen gets to tee off on Flozell Adams, the most penalized tackle in the game, and a player that has obviously lost a step or two. I obviously hope the Vikings win, but nothing will surprise me with this game except for it not going down to the last play of the game. Since this is my prediction report, I have to call it, and I'm going to say Brett Favre carries the Vikings to a victory. Vikings 23, Dallas 21.

Enjoy the games. This should be a great weekend of watching football.

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